LIVE
The AI Parity Index0.1%Tasks measured1 of 18,796Unemployment4.1% · Jul 20260.1 pt vs Jun 2026Payrolls−23K m/m · Jul 2026158.9M employedJob openings7.4M · Jun 20260.2M vs May 2026Wages$37.62/h avg · Jul 2026+3.2% y/yProductivity+1.4% q/q ann. · Q2 2026Inflation+3.4% y/y · Jul 2026Next upSoftware Developers · 16 more tasksNext releaseQ4 2026
The AI Parity Index0.1%Tasks measured1 of 18,796Unemployment4.1% · Jul 20260.1 pt vs Jun 2026Payrolls−23K m/m · Jul 2026158.9M employedJob openings7.4M · Jun 20260.2M vs May 2026Wages$37.62/h avg · Jul 2026+3.2% y/yProductivity+1.4% q/q ann. · Q2 2026Inflation+3.4% y/y · Jul 2026Next upSoftware Developers · 16 more tasksNext releaseQ4 2026
Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.
1.7M jobs · $71/h avg · $46B of GDP a year · 6.2% of the job · verification method: machine-checked
Leaderboard
Each frontier model, handed the ticket cold: one pass, no tools, no retries. This is what the model alone can do.
| # | Modelranked by success | Success rateshare of runs at the bar | Consistentruns passed | Cost per tasklist-price est. | Time per taskinference | vs human× output · − pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Human baseline | 100% | — | ~$225 est. | ~25 min est. | — | |
| 1 |  GPT-5.5 › | 22% | 6/27 | $0.03 | 30s | -78 pts |
| 2 |  Claude Opus › | 11% | 3/27 | $0.04 | 6s | -89 pts |
| 3 |  Gemini 3.1 Pro › | 0% | 0/27 | $0.01 | 97s | -100 pts |
| · | Claude Sonnet | invited · not yet run | ||||
| · |  Grok 4 | invited · not yet run | ||||
| · |  DeepSeek | invited · not yet run | ||||
| Verification method | Machine-checked · rubric v1.0, model-applied, not yet human-reviewed |
| Industries | Professional and Technical Services 41% · Information 21% · Finance and Insurance 10% · Manufacturing 8% |
| Source | O*NET task 21670 · Core · importance 3.74 of 5 · jobs and wages BLS OEWS May 2025 |
Working prototype by Recursiv Labs · not an official SPARK AI or UC San Diego publication · Data · © 2026